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  Anticipating turbulent periods in Latin American emerging markets
 
 
Title: Anticipating turbulent periods in Latin American emerging markets
Author: Darcy Fuenzalida
Samuel Mongrut
Mauricio Nash
Francisco Rosales
Appeared in: Contaduría y administración
Paging: Volume 2009 (2009) nr. 229 pages 31-57
Year: 2009
Contents: Some Latin American markets have been seriously affected by the episodes of financial crises during the last 15 years. One way of dealing with crises is to find mechanisms and policies that may be implemented in order to prevent or face this type of episodes. However, we can also try to characterize and anticipate periods of turbulence in emerging capital markets throughhistorical technical analysis. The latter approach is used in this work by studying the multifractal properties of three Latin American emerging markets facing the Mexican crisis of 1994: Argentina, Brazil and Peru. The analysis of returns is made through its singularity spectrum during the 1989-2000 period by using a crisis-switching indicator with an empirical threshold. We show that sudden changes in one version of the sequence of Hölder exponents preceded turbulent periods with about sixty days of anticipation.
Publisher: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (provided by DOAJ)
Source file: Elektronische Wetenschappelijke Tijdschriften
 
 

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