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                                       Details for article 2 of 7 found articles
 
 
  A Study on the Impact of SARS on the Forecast of Visitor Arrivals to China
 
 
Title: A Study on the Impact of SARS on the Forecast of Visitor Arrivals to China
Author: Chen, Ying-Chih
Kang, Hsin-Hong
Yang, Tzer-Chyun
Appeared in: Journal of Asia-Pacific business
Paging: Volume 8 (2007) nr. 1 pages 31-50
Year: 2007-03-22
Contents: The objective of this study is to build a model to forecast the visitor arrivals to China and to examine the impact caused by the SARS incident. Seasonal ARIMA models and seasonal dummy variables are created to build the forecast models, and we use intervention analysis to process the outliers resulting from unexpected incidents. The results reveal that the SARS incident had a considerable impact on the international visitor arrivals to China and caused the figures to drop by at least 42%. The seasonal ARIMA models are also used to forecast the visitor arrivals to China up to the end of 2007.
Publisher: Routledge
Source file: Elektronische Wetenschappelijke Tijdschriften
 
 

                             Details for article 2 of 7 found articles
 
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