Scenarios for the future of human settlements in the Nordic countries
Titel:
Scenarios for the future of human settlements in the Nordic countries
Auteur:
Sanne, Christer
Verschenen in:
Housing, theory and society
Paginering:
Jaargang 1 (1984) nr. 1 pagina's 43-59
Jaar:
1984
Inhoud:
This is a study of long-term perspectives for dwelling, construction and planning. It describes postindustrial features of a rich welfare society and the significance of these features for the household and for local life in the residential area—changed patterns for the time devoted to paid and unpaid work, changed household patterns, the spread of self-service and an incipient saturation in the consumption of goods and housing. The latter is regarded as a consequence of a rapid increase in standard and an even more rapid increase in cost which can no longer be compensated by housing subsidies. Three scenarios of the future, with the organization of work as a central variable, are outlined from this point of departure. The effect of shorter working hours per week, of lower retirement ages or of extensive exclusion from gainful employment are discussed. The report also discusses which economic and administrative control instruments can be used in housing policy to provide an acceptable housing standard and to protect households against disruptive migrations. One scenario includes a discussion of measures which can lead to increased local cooperation. It is assumed in one scenario that the housing market will be characterized by a situation in which the residents own their own homes, while another scenario develops an administrative municipal housing allocation. It is assumed in all three scenarios that the addition of new dwelling units will be small. As a result, conditions are required which can promote a turnover of the dwelling units so that shrinking households place their excessively large dwellings at the disposal of growing households.
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