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| Titel: |
Analytical approach for economic risk quantification of large engineering projects |
| Auteur: |
Russell, Alan D. Ranasinghe, Malik |
| Verschenen in: |
Construction management & economics |
| Paginering: | Jaargang 10 (1992) nr. 4 pagina's 277-301 |
| Jaar: |
1992-07 |
| Inhoud: |
A consistent,four moment based approach for quantifying time and economic risks is presented. The goal is to produce a computationally efficient tool that can be used to explore economic feasibility and tradeoffs between cost and time performance versus risk as a function of various strategies for executing and sequencing major work packages. A three level hierarchy of parameters is used, starting with time, cost and revenue performance at the work package/revenue stream level to rate of return at the overall project level. Use of a four moment approach and Pearson distributions at all levels of the hierarchy permit the formulation of a consistent and readily automated approach to risk measurement. Treatment of correlations is included. A modified form of PNET is presented for quantifying time uncertainty. Use of limiting values (0, 1) of the PNET transitional correlation provide bounds for decision parameters. |
| Uitgever: |
Routledge |
| Bronbestand: |
Elektronische Wetenschappelijke Tijdschriften |
Details van artikel 1 van 10 gevonden artikelen
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