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| Titel: |
An analysis of the military threats across the Taiwan Strait: Fact or fiction |
| Auteur: |
Kearsley, Harold J. |
| Verschenen in: |
Comparative strategy |
| Paginering: | Jaargang 19 (2000) nr. 2 pagina's 103-116 |
| Jaar: |
2000-04 |
| Inhoud: |
One of the world's hot spots is the Taiwan Strait. The two powers separated by this water have been antagonists since 1949; however, the situation recently was exacerbated by suggestions that Taiwan might seek “statehood.” China may resort to military operations against the island if Taipei declares independence. For a threat to be real, there must be both motivation and hardware to carry it out. The military threats China might employ are invasion, limited invasion, blockade, and missile strikes. Clearly, China has both long-and short-term motivators to conduct such operations. A rational analysis, however, of China's capabilities suggests it does not have the hardware to carry out the threats. Even the nuclear capability open to Beijing is not usable if rational thinking is employed. Yet short-term internal pressures may undermine Beijing's desire to pursue a rational path. |
| Uitgever: |
Routledge |
| Bronbestand: |
Elektronische Wetenschappelijke Tijdschriften |
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