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Details van artikel 2 van 7 gevonden artikelen
| Titel: |
Critically examining some common assumptions and sources of error in international relations forecasting |
| Auteur: |
Sylvan, Donald A. |
| Verschenen in: |
International interactions |
| Paginering: | Jaargang 5 (1979) nr. 1 pagina's 59-73 |
| Jaar: |
1979-09 |
| Inhoud: |
Both systematic and random forecasting errors are discussed in this paper. A variety of forecasting approaches employed in international relations are evaluated with respect to their ability to minimize systematic and random bias. One potential source of forecast inaccuracy with which the paper deals is the choice of assumptions. The statistical precariousness of some assumptions, the degree of policy manipulability and change which is assumed, and the degree of technological innovation which is assumed in a forecast are discussed. Population, resources, and food serve as subject matters of some of the forecasts which are examined. |
| Uitgever: |
Routledge |
| Bronbestand: |
Elektronische Wetenschappelijke Tijdschriften |
Details van artikel 2 van 7 gevonden artikelen
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