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                                       Details van artikel 150 van 198 gevonden artikelen
 
 
  Stock returns and volatility: empirical evidence from fourteen countries
 
 
Titel: Stock returns and volatility: empirical evidence from fourteen countries
Auteur: Balaban, Ercan
Bayar, Aslı
Verschenen in: Applied economics letters
Paginering: Jaargang 12 (2005) nr. 10 pagina's 603-611
Jaar: 2005-08-15
Inhoud: This is a pioneering effort to test in 14 countries the relationship between stock market returns and their forecast volatility derived from the symmetric and asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity models. Both weekly and monthly returns and their volatility are investigated. An out-of-sample testing methodology is employed using volatility forecasts instead of investigating the relation between stock returns and their in-sample volatility estimates. Expected volatility is derived from the ARCH(p), GARCH(1,1), GJR-GARCH(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) forecast models. Expected volatility is found to have a significant negative or positive effect on country returns in a few cases. Unexpected volatility has a negative effect on weekly stock returns in six to seven countries and on monthly returns in nine to eleven countries depending on the volatility forecasting model. However, it has a positive effect on weekly and monthly returns in none of the countries investigated. It is concluded that the return variance may not be an appropriate measure of risk.
Uitgever: Routledge
Bronbestand: Elektronische Wetenschappelijke Tijdschriften
 
 

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